Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 9

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday


	Orkla FK		Lillestrøm 2

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.8	2.15
	2.54	3.89	2.13
	2.35	3.95	2.27
	2.4	3.9	2.2
	2.57	4.15	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.07)	3.94 ↓ (4.2)	2.18 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orkla FK
36.2%

Draw
22.7%

Lillestrøm 2
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

21.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

22.9%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orkla FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orkla FK's form might have worsened.

Lillestrøm 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lillestrøm 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orkla FK than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orkla FK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lillestrøm 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Orkla FK - Lillestrøm 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Mjonestro G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Waehler M. ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, Sanden H. ⚽,
78', 3 - 1, Lokken O. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, Sandum-Ronningen M. ⚽,
90+6', 4 - 2, Lynum E. ⚽,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11).

Orkla is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lillestrøm 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Orkla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orkla FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
20.05.24	Orkla FK - Surnadal IL	1:3 ✺
12.05.24	Orkla FK - Stabæk 2	0:2 ✺
04.05.24	Melhus - Orkla FK	0:3 ✺
20.04.24	Nardo - Orkla FK	4:0 ✺
13.04.24	Orkla FK - Strømsgodset 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
26.05.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Surnadal IL	3:2 ✺
21.05.24	Stabæk 2 - Lillestrøm 2	3:4 ✺
11.05.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Tiller	4:1 ✺
04.05.24	Nardo - Lillestrøm 2	5:4 ✺
29.04.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Strømsgodset 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWLL

Orkla FK - Lillestrøm 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide