Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 5 - ROUND 20

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday


	Orkla FK		Trønder-Lyn

	1	X	2
	1.78	4.2	3.5	Watch
	1.74	4.5	3.09
	1.76	4.33	3.48
	1.78	4.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.02)	4.31 ↑ (4)	3.39 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orkla FK
51.8%

Draw
21.2%

Trønder-Lyn
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

22.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orkla FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orkla FK's performance.

Trønder-Lyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trønder-Lyn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orkla FK than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orkla FK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trønder-Lyn than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Orkla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Trønder-Lyn is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Orkla will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Orkla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orkla FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
09.09.23	Strindheim - Orkla FK	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Orkla FK - Kolstad	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Mosjøen - Orkla FK	2:3 ✺
19.08.23	Orkla FK - Nardo	1:3 ✺
12.08.23	Tiller - Orkla FK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWWLT
- Trønder-Lyn IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
09.09.23	Trønder-Lyn - Verdal	0:3 ✺
03.09.23	Bodø Glimt 2 - Trønder-Lyn	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Rana - Trønder-Lyn	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Trønder-Lyn - Mosjøen	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	Strindheim - Trønder-Lyn	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
03.06.23	Trønder-Lyn - Orkla FK	1:1

Orkla FK - Trønder-Lyn: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide