Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 5 - ROUND 17

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday


	Mosjøen		Orkla FK

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.38	7.44
	1.24	6.5	7.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.41)	6.44 ↑ (5)	7.67 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosjøen
74%

Draw
14.1%

Orkla FK
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

18.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

17.5%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosjøen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mosjøen's performance.

Orkla FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orkla FK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosjøen than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mosjøen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orkla FK than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orkla FK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Mosjøen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Orkla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Mosjøen is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mosjøen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mosjøen IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
19.08.23	Trønder-Lyn - Mosjøen	2:2 ✺
14.08.23	Mosjøen - Rosenborg II	2:0 ✺
06.08.23	Bodø Glimt 2 - Mosjøen	5:1 ✺
30.07.23	Mosjøen - Byåsen	2:5 ✺
22.07.23	Verdal - Mosjøen	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLLL
- Orkla FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
19.08.23	Orkla FK - Nardo	1:3 ✺
12.08.23	Tiller - Orkla FK	2:2 ✺
05.08.23	Orkla FK - Steinkjer	4:0 ✺
29.07.23	Kolstad - Orkla FK	0:2 ✺
22.07.23	Orkla FK - Strindheim	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
22.04.23	Orkla FK - Mosjøen	0:0

Mosjøen - Orkla FK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide