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Current Win Probability
Orlando City B 33.1%
Draw 24.1%
Atlanta United II 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.9%
23.3%
47.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
23%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Atlanta United II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta United II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City B than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta United II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Orlando City B - Atlanta United II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Himes T. (C) 52. Amoo-Mensah P. 72. Okonski L. 21. Miller N. 33. Archange C. 38. Haruna I. 70. Hylton J. 80. Gomez I. 23. Sarajian H. 65. Caraballo G. 90. Pedro Leao
51. Ranson J. (C) 44. Chica D. 82. Senanou M. 64. Cisset M. 50. Chong-Qui D. 67. Dovlo E. 81. Sibrian D. 78. Jardines A. 70. Dunbar C. 56. Suarez I. 39. Kovac A.
Substitutes
63. Aguirre H. 66. Belgodere M. 75. Bobea N. 51. Kendall B. 58. Lasheras N. 68. Mellecker L. 99. Rojas J. (G) 36. Titus Jr S. 59. Trombino C.
31. Caio 60. Donaldson J. (G) 52. Fakiseyi O. 85. Henry A. 83. Kwon J. 41. Majub T. 40. Pita S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Kovac A. ⚽, Dunbar C. (A),
12', Sibrian D. 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, Haruna I. ⚽, Caraballo G. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Sarajian H. (Own goal),
40', 1 - 3, Suarez I. ⚽, Dunbar C. (A),
45+2', Senanou M. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 3, Hylton J. ⚽, Haruna I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Suarez I. ↓, Pita S. ↑,
58', Sibrian D. ↓, Kwon J. ↑,
61', Cisset M. 🟨,
63', 2 - 4, Chong-Qui D. ⚽,
71', Sarajian H. ↓, Belgodere M. ↑,
71', Gomez I. ↓, Lasheras N. ↑,
82', Pedro Leao ↓, Kendall B. ↑,
82', Okonski L. ↓, Bobea N. ↑,
83', Chong-Qui D. 🟨,
83', 🟨,
85', Jardines A. ↓, Fakiseyi O. ↑,
85', Chong-Qui D. ↓, Henry A. ↑,
86', Bobea N. 🟨,
90', Haruna I. ↓, Aguirre H. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro Playoffs1/8~finals) and 5th in the Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro Playoffs1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OCB won 3.
In recent outings, OCB has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Atlanta United II shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
OCB could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Atlanta United II is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, OCB has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:24 (averaging 2.2:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for OCB against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:10 goals (averaging 2.6:2 per game).
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Himes T. (C) 
Archange C. 
Haruna I. 
Gomez I. 
Caraballo G. 
Pedro Leao 
Cisset M. 
Dovlo E. 
Sibrian D. 
Belgodere M. 
Bobea N. 
Majub T. 
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