The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orlando City B 39%
Draw 22.5%
New York City II 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
25.6%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
24.4%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City B than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York City II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Orlando City B - New York City II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Mercado C. (G) 38. Tori R. 33. Sargis H. 61. Platts S. 29. Reid-Brown T. 44. Rhein B. 25. Guske C. 95. Loyola F. 59. Ellis J. 23. Mohammed S. 62. Thalles
70. Learned M. (G) 38. Baiera A. 77. Lopez J. 73. McCamy C. 68. Tiao C. 29. Carrizo M. 78. Lim E. 71. Molinari P. 72. Sunjic L. 81. Musu S. 75. Guarino E.
Substitutes
64. Abdellaoui N. 65. Caraballo G. 88. Clapier D. 40. Himes T. (G) 72. Hylton J. 74. Judelson D. 46. Levis N. 63. Rodriguez Z. 68. Williams T.
33. Amponsah P. 56. Bilden J. 92. De Pinho L. 91. Duque D. 58. Infuso P. 80. Klein B. (G) 64. Lacher J. 99. Zeitz U.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Lim E. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Platts S. (Own goal),
45+3', Tiao C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', Guske C. ↓, Judelson D. ↑,
64', Carrizo M. ↓, Zeitz U. ↑,
70', Guarino E. 🟨,
71', Thalles ↓, Clapier D. ↑,
76', Guarino E. ↓, Lacher J. ↑,
79', Rhein B. ↓, Hylton J. ↑,
82', Judelson D. 🟨,
86', Musu S. 🟨,
86', 0 - 3, Zeitz U. ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, Mohammed S. ⚽,
90+3', Sunjic L. ↓, Bilden J. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 4, Lacher J. ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 12).
OCB has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
New York City II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, OCB has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OCB won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 2.6:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, OCB won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
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Mercado C. (G) 
Tori R. 
Loyola F. 
Mohammed S. 
Thalles 
Tiao C. 
Musu S. 
Abdellaoui N. 
Judelson D. 
Levis N. 
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