Match Info

MTN 8 Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Orlando Stadium (Johannesburg)


	Orlando Pirates		Sekhukhune United

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.00	7.50
	1.43	4.20	7.00
	1.47	3.62	8.34
	1.38	4.04	8.3
	1.45	3.55	8.25
	1.44	4.19	7.33	Watch
	1.37	3.90	7.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.39)	3.93 ↑ (3.88)	7.73 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Pirates
64.8%

Draw
23.4%

Sekhukhune United
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

23%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

21.4%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Sekhukhune United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sekhukhune United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Orlando Pirates - Sekhukhune United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Chaine S. (C) 36. Sebelebele K. 6. Seema L. 37. Zulu S. 3. Ndaba N. 29. Mthiyane M. 33. Mokobodi T. 23. Lungu G. 20. Selepe S. 12. Appollis O. 9. Mbuthuma Y.	16. Nsabata T. (G) 36. Ndlozi S. 28. Matsimbi T. 4. Cardoso D. (C) 29. Kazeem D. S. 21. Mojela L. B. 33. Khupe G. 15. Mkhize S. 11. Rammala N. 41. Muzeu B. 3. Ndlovu B.
Substitutes
43. Chabatsane M. 46. Dansin C. 32. Dladla S. (G) 7. Hotto D. 48. Masilela S. 11. Moremi T. 45. Msendami D. 38. Padime M. 25. Radiopane B.	9. Ciro 12. Khiba T. 26. Mcaba A. 2. Mobbie N. 31. Mokoane T. 8. Phiri O. 23. Sapunga M. (G) 45. Tlaka K.
Coaches
Ouaddou A.	Kaze C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', Kazeem D. S. 🟨,
36', Kazeem D. S. ↓, Mokoane T. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Mokobodi T. ⚽, Mbuthuma Y. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Lungu G. ⚽, Mbuthuma Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Seema L. ↓, Chabatsane M. ↑,
62', Mbuthuma Y. ↓, Radiopane B. ↑,
64', Mojela L. B. ↓, Phiri O. ↑,
64', Khupe G. ↓, Khiba T. ↑,
72', Muzeu B. ↓, Ciro ↑,
74', Appollis O. ↓, Moremi T. ↑,
74', Selepe S. ↓, Masilela S. ↑,
77', Ndlovu B. 🟨,
81', Rammala N. 🟨,
83', Lungu G. ↓, Padime M. ↑,
86', Ndaba N. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 0, Sebelebele K. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 2.

Orlando Pirates has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sekhukhune United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Orlando Pirates is the clear favorite.

We predict that Orlando Pirates will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Orlando Pirates won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Pirates
South African Premier Soccer League
25.08.26	Orlando Pirates - Sekhukhune United	2:0 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
22.08.26	Sekhukhune United - Orlando Pirates	0:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
16.08.26	Chippa United - Orlando Pirates	0:3 ✺
12.08.26	AmaZulu - Orlando Pirates	1:1 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
08.08.26	Orlando Pirates - Durban City	2:1 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWTW
- Sekhukhune United
South African Premier Soccer League
25.08.26	Orlando Pirates - Sekhukhune United	2:0 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
22.08.26	Sekhukhune United - Orlando Pirates	0:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
15.08.26	Sekhukhune United - Polokwane City	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Kaizer Chiefs - Sekhukhune United	2:0 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
09.08.26	AmaZulu - Sekhukhune United	3:4 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
25.08.26	Orlando Pirates - Sekhukhune United	2:0
South African MTN 8 Cup
22.08.26	Sekhukhune United - Orlando Pirates	0:1
South African Premier Soccer League
24.01.26	Sekhukhune United - Orlando Pirates	0:0
09.08.25	Orlando Pirates - Sekhukhune United	0:1
30.04.25	Orlando Pirates - Sekhukhune United	0:1
05.02.25	Sekhukhune United - Orlando Pirates	1:2
30.03.24	Sekhukhune United - Orlando Pirates	2:1

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