Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 22

Date: 23 February 2024, Friday

Location: Stade de la Source (Orléans)


	Orleans		Avranches

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.8	5.5
	1.53	4	5.5
	1.48	4.05	5.8
	1.55	4.18	6.09
	1.44	3.9	5.8
	1.53	4	5.73	Watch
	1.5	3.85	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.7)	3.97 ↑ (3.56)	5.75 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orleans
61%

Draw
23.1%

Avranches
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

25.5%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

24.8%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orleans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orleans's performance.

Avranches has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avranches might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orleans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avranches than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Orleans - Avranches Predictions

Users Predictions: Orleans will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Viot V. (G) 28. Agounon B. 11. Berthier G. 10. Dabasse A. 13. Fortune K. 15. Goujon L. 4. Morgan J. 6. Niakate A. 20. Ponti R. 14. Saint-Ruf N. 3. Solvet S.	1. Beuve A. (G) 23. Daguin V. 3. Fofana S. 11. Jean D. 20. Kerouedan A. 4. Lemeray M. 10. Magnon P. 7. Nsimba S. 14. Pierre L. 5. Rabuel M. 21. Remars M.
Substitutes
9. Akassou J. 5. Camara M. 17. Etoughe P. 22. Halby J. 21. Theresin V.	2. Launay B. 16. Mensah C. (G) 25. Pi J. 6. Smith J. 24. Tertereau A.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orleans won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Orleans is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Orleans won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Orleans won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
16.02.24	Le Mans - Orleans	0:1 ✺
12.02.24	Orleans - Rouen FC	0:0 ✺
02.02.24	Martigues - Orleans	1:1 ✺
26.01.24	Orleans - Versailles	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
20.01.24	Orleans - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTTWL
- US Avranches
French Ligue 3
16.02.24	Avranches - Versailles	1:0 ✺
09.02.24	Nîmes - Avranches	1:0 ✺
02.02.24	Avranches - Dijon	1:4 ✺
19.01.24	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Avranches	4:1 ✺
12.01.24	Avranches - Cholet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
15.09.23	Avranches - Orleans	1:1
07.04.23	Avranches - Orleans	1:2
11.11.22	Orleans - Avranches	1:0
25.03.22	Avranches - Orleans	1:2
22.10.21	Orleans - Avranches	0:0
09.03.21	Avranches - Orleans	1:2
29.09.20	Orleans - Avranches	3:1

Orleans - Avranches: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide