Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Le Mans		Orleans

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.47	3.15	2.8
	2.59	3.2	2.86
	2.48	3.13	2.73	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.62
	2.46	3.22	2.69
	2.47	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.35)	3.16 ↓ (3.19)	2.73 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
37.3%

Draw
29.1%

Orleans
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.9%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

27.9%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Orleans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Le Mans - Orleans Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Orleans will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kocik N. (G) 22. Calodat L. 19. Dekoke N. 21. Eyoum T. 25. Gueye D. 13. Keita T. 32. Matumona J. 23. Nonnenmacher M. 31. Tronchet N. 15. Vula A. 17. Yohou S.	1. Viot V. (G) 25. Bretelle L. 9. El Khoumisti F. 8. Giraudon J. 15. Goujon L. 22. Halby J. 4. Jean-Pierre M. 10. Khous G. 20. Ponti R. 12. Testud K. 21. Theresin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Khous G. ⚽,
9', Jean-Pierre M. 🟨,
21', 0 - 2, Bretelle L. ⚽,
28', Ouchen A. 🟨,
36', Goujon L. 🟨,
38', Dekoke N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dekoke N. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,
46', Nonnenmacher M. ↓, Rossignol M. ↑,
46', Vula A. ↓, Bernardeau G. ↑,
66', Oggad B. 🟥,
68', Ouchen A. ↓, Rabillard A. ↑,
77', Calodat L. ↓, Eyoum T. ↑,
78', Testud K. ↓, Cartillier A. ↑,
78', Khous G. ↓, Sila K. ↑,
81', Ponti R. 🟨,
87', El Khoumisti F. ↓, Do Marcolino F. ↑,
89', Halby J. 🟨,
89', Keita T. 🟨,
89', Jean-Pierre M. ↓, Baudry M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Le Mans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Le Mans have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:11 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Le Mans won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
08.11.24	Aubagne - Le Mans	1:0 ✺
01.11.24	Le Mans - Nancy	0:4 ✺
23.10.24	Paris 13 Atletico - Le Mans	2:3 ✺
18.10.24	Châteauroux - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	Quevilly - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWWW
- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
02.11.24	Quevilly - Orleans	1:1 ✺
23.10.24	Orleans - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Boulogne - Orleans	3:0 ✺
09.10.24	Orleans - Valenciennes	4:1 ✺
04.10.24	Orleans - Dijon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.08.24	Orleans - Le Mans	2:0
French Ligue 3
16.02.24	Le Mans - Orleans	0:1
11.09.23	Orleans - Le Mans	1:3
10.05.23	Orleans - Le Mans	0:1
16.12.22	Le Mans - Orleans	2:0
01.04.22	Orleans - Le Mans	2:1
28.10.21	Le Mans - Orleans	0:0

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