Match Info

National - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Source (Orléans)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Orleans		Fleury 91

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.3
	3.1	3.3	2.12
	3.41	3.5	2.17
	3.06	3.24	2.19
	3.1	3	2.05
	3.2	3.24	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (1.98)	3.25 ↓ (3.52)	2.15 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orleans
29.5%

Draw
28.1%

Fleury 91
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.2%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

26.6%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orleans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orleans's form might have worsened.

Fleury 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fleury 91's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orleans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleury 91 than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fleury 91, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Orleans - Fleury 91 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orleans will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fleury will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleury (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Fleury (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleury (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Faham F. (G) 31. Aouladzian Y. 11. Berthier G. 17. Bozkurt C. 21. Diako M. 10. Khous G. (C) 27. Lemaitre M. 28. Luyambula S. 23. Mouton E. 29. Obiang J. 5. Sylla M.	40. Alette G. (G) 19. Farade K. 20. Hervieu L. 25. Jean-Pierre M. 26. Karamoko H. 7. Lambese S. 17. Lavigne V. 8. Leleve R. (C) 10. Le Mehaute Y. 3. Plisson T. 4. Vogt Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Leleve R. 🟥,
14', 1 - 0, Bozkurt C. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Diako M. ⚽, Berthier G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hervieu L. ↓, Lefebvre G. ↑,
46', Lambese S. ↓, Bovis E. ↑,
46', Plisson T. ↓, Angong F. ↑,
48', Diako M. 🟨,
53', Khous G. 🟨,
62', Lefebvre G. ↓, Badin C. ↑,
67', Aouladzian Y. ↓, Ribeiro A. ↑,
67', Lavigne V. ↓, Belliard M. ↑,
71', Diako M. ↓, El Khoumisti F. ↑,
72', Obiang J. ↓, Bailly A. ↑,
75', Berthier G. ↓, Zekou C. ↑,
78', Bozkurt C. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).

In recent matches, Orleans has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fleury-Merogis is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Orleans won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Fleury 91	9	3	3	3	15:12	3	12
14	Orleans	9	2	3	4	7:11	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Orleans - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.67%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
01.05.26	Versailles - Orleans	0:0 ✺
24.04.26	Orleans - Quevilly	0:3 ✺
17.04.26	Aubagne - Orleans	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Orleans - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Orleans - Villefranche	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWTT
- FC Fleury 91
French Ligue 3
01.05.26	Fleury 91 - Le Puy	4:0 ✺
24.04.26	Châteauroux - Fleury 91	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Fleury 91 - Valenciennes	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Sochaux - Fleury 91	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Fleury 91 - Dijon	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
16.01.26	Fleury 91 - Orleans	3:0

Orleans - Fleury 91: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide