Match Info

National - Round 28

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Robert Bobin (Bondoufle)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fleury 91		Dijon

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.25	2.22
	3.28	3.45	2.21
	3.05	3.31	2.16
	2.9	3.1	2.1
	3.15	3.36	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.75)	3.29 ↑ (3.15)	2.18 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleury 91
29.9%

Draw
27.9%

Dijon
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

29.1%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

27.8%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleury 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fleury 91's performance.

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleury 91 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fleury 91 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dijon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Fleury 91 - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fleury will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Dijon will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Alette G. (G) 7. Lambese S. 4. Vogt Q. 26. Karamoko H. 25. Jean-Pierre M. 6. Lefebvre G. 8. Leleve R. (C) 10. Le Mehaute Y. 20. Hervieu L. 9. Rivas J. 19. Farade K.	16. Delecroix P. (G) 2. Diallo I. 23. Lacroix L. 5. Bernard Q. 3. Khatir F. 8. Bellon P. 22. Domingues J. 14. Marie J. (C) 18. Ndezi B. 7. Hamada B. 29. Ntamack A.
Substitutes
15. Angong F. 5. Aubourg H. 14. Belliard M. 17. Lavigne V. 3. Plisson T.	36. Aka Y. 21. Chouchane S. 37. Dong T. 1. Montfort L. (G) 20. Vargas-Rios H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Lacroix L. ⚽, Marie J. (A),
33', Domingues J. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Rivas J. ⚽, Le Mehaute Y. (A),
39', Marie J. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 1, Farade K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Delecroix P. 🟥,
53', Domingues J. ↓, Montfort L. ↑,
58', Hervieu L. 🟨,
59', Khatir F. ↓, Vargas-Rios H. ↑,
59', Ndezi B. ↓, Chouchane S. ↑,
73', Leleve R. ↓, Aubourg H. ↑,
73', Le Mehaute Y. ↓, Lavigne V. ↑,
76', Marie J. ↓, Aka Y. ↑,
76', Ntamack A. ↓, Dong T. ↑,
83', Lambese S. ↓, Angong F. ↑,
83', Farade K. ↓, Belliard M. ↑,
84', Aubourg H. 🟨,
86', 3 - 1, Angong F. ⚽,
89', Karamoko H. ↓, Plisson T. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Fleury-Merogis is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dijon is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fleury-Merogis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dijon could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fleury-Merogis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Fleury 91	9	3	3	3	15:12	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fleury 91
French Ligue 3
27.03.26	Fleury 91 - Bourg-Péronnas	3:0 ✺
20.03.26	Versailles - Fleury 91	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Fleury 91 - Quevilly	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Aubagne - Fleury 91	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Fleury 91 - Concarneau	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWWL
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
27.03.26	Dijon - Versailles	3:1 ✺
19.03.26	Quevilly - Dijon	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Dijon - Aubagne	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Concarneau - Dijon	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Villefranche - Dijon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
31.10.25	Dijon - Fleury 91	0:1
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Dijon - Fleury 91	2:2

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