The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aubagne 18.9%
Draw 23.9%
Orleans 57.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.8%
25.8%
48.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
25.5%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aubagne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aubagne's form might have worsened.
Orleans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orleans's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aubagne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orleans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Aubagne - Orleans Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Orleans will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nouichi M. (G) 21. Ali Hamidou N. D. 8. Rocchia C. 15. Mimb Baheng R. 13. Abdallah M. 4. Diaby A. (C) 28. Bentoumi M. 31. El Asrar M. 18. Oudjani A. 19. Berrabha D. 9. Tlili K.
1. Faham F. (G) 28. Luyambula S. 23. Mouton E. 5. Sylla M. 29. Obiang J. 6. Kebe K. 22. Morel J. 21. Diako M. 31. Aouladzian Y. 19. Legendre R. 9. El Khoumisti F.
Substitutes
35. Ahamada S. 33. Curis I. . Leccese J. 36. Madi K. 14. Mayilla E.
34. Bailly A. 11. Berthier G. 17. Bozkurt C. 16. Courel A. (G) 10. Khous G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Bentoumi M. 🟨,
21', El Asrar M. 🟨,
38', Kebe K. 🟨,
45+1', Tlili K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Aouladzian Y. ↓, Khous G. ↑,
71', Morel J. ↓, Berthier G. ↑,
71', Legendre R. ↓, Bozkurt C. ↑,
78', El Asrar M. ↓, Madi K. ↑,
78', Tlili K. ↓, Mayilla E. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, El Khoumisti F. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Berrabha D. ↓, Leccese J. ↑,
85', Oudjani A. 🟥,
90+2', 0 - 2, El Khoumisti F. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Kebe K. ↓, Bailly A. ↑,
90+6', Rocchia C. ↓, Leccese J. ↑,
90+6', Bentoumi M. ↓, Curis I. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6).
Aubagne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Orleans is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Aubagne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Orleans might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aubagne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Aubagne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Orleans
9
2
3
4
7:11
-4
9
16
Aubagne
9
2
1
6
6:12
-6
7
Last Results with these Odds
Aubagne - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.77%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
France
World
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Nouichi M. (G) 
Ali Hamidou N. D. 
Mimb Baheng R. 
Diaby A. (C) 
Bentoumi M. 
Faham F. (G) 
Obiang J. 
Leccese J. 
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