Match Info

National - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de la Source (Orléans)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	BFM Grand Lille
World	FIFA+


	Orleans		Valenciennes

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1	Watch
	2.22	3.05	3.15
	2.29	3.22	3.3
	2.47	3.03	2.89	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3.1
	2.29	3.08	3.11	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.22)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	3.09 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Orleans
40.5%

Draw
30.2%

Valenciennes
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

29.9%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

28.5%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orleans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Orleans - Valenciennes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Valenciennes (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Valenciennes (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Valenciennes (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Faham F. (G) 5. Sylla M. 29. Obiang J. 24. Obissa S. 23. Mouton E. 22. Morel J. 10. Khous G. 7. Sanchez Da Silva F. 19. Lallias A. 9. El Khoumisti F. 20. Rodrigues C.	1. Louchet J. (G) 17. Diomande A. 29. Coeff A. 24. Thomas R. 20. Koum Mbondo A. 8. Rouai M. 6. Sissoko S. 7. Baghdadi S. 11. Appuah S. 10. Ipiele A. 33. Takaoka R.
Substitutes
6. D'Arpino M. 21. Diako M. 34. Elazouzi N. 8. Giraudon J. 14. Tayot G.	22. Boissier R. 19. Buades L. 26. Diomande D. 32. Niakate S. 28. Wahib A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, El Khoumisti F. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Morel J. ⚽, El Khoumisti F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sissoko S. ↓, Diomande D. ↑,
46', Appuah S. ↓, Niakate S. ↑,
62', Takaoka R. ↓, Buades L. ↑,
62', Koum Mbondo A. ↓, Wahib A. ↑,
65', Obiang J. ↓, Tayot G. ↑,
71', Rodrigues C. ↓, Diako M. ↑,
73', Rouai M. 🟨,
81', Rouai M. ↓, Boissier R. ↑,
82', Lallias A. ↓, Giraudon J. ↑,
82', Morel J. ↓, D'Arpino M. ↑,
88', Obissa S. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Niakate S. ⚽, Baghdadi S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orleans won 3.

Orleans has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Valenciennes is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Valenciennes has had a series of away games.

Orleans is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Orleans won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Orleans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
15.08.25	Sochaux - Orleans	5:0 ✺
08.08.25	Orleans - Dijon	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.25	Laval - Orleans	4:0 ✺
25.07.25	Orleans - St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	4:2 ✺
22.07.25	Orleans - Blois Foot 41	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWW
- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 3
15.08.25	Valenciennes - Le Puy	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Châteauroux - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.25	Francs Borains - Valenciennes	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Kortrijk - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Feignies Aulnoye - Valenciennes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
24.01.25	Valenciennes - Orleans	1:0
09.10.24	Orleans - Valenciennes	4:1
French Ligue 2
22.11.19	Orleans - Valenciennes	0:1
15.03.19	Valenciennes - Orleans	1:4
19.10.18	Orleans - Valenciennes	1:0
02.03.18	Valenciennes - Orleans	0:1
29.09.17	Orleans - Valenciennes	3:4

Orleans - Valenciennes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide