Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Italy	Ligue 1+
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+


	Valenciennes		Le Puy

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	2.87
	2.23	3.15	2.85
	2.32	3.40	3.16
	2.25	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.10
	2.20	3.13	3.02
	2.24	3.25	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.39)	3.25 ↑ (3.14)	2.97 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
41%

Draw
28.2%

Le Puy
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.1%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

29.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Le Puy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Puy than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Valenciennes - Le Puy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Valenciennes (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valenciennes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Louchet J. (G) 22. Goprou D. 13. Rocchia C. 6. Zogba M. 2. Abu D. 19. Marechal T. 8. Rouai M. (C) 10. Diomande D. 21. Marcel V. 11. Ekra R. 9. Ndiaye J.	1. Carvalho M. (G) 2. Vinicius Gomes 5. Dembele M. 3. Seidou E. 7. Kouassi E. 18. Gauthier A. 10. Xhemo R. (C) 8. Mroivili R. 6. Zahibo W. 17. Nsingi P. 9. Faty M.
Substitutes
26. Boiteau L. 4. Bourichon N. 40. Lacombe J. (G) 33. Linyon D. 20. Meite A. 29. Nyemb C. 15. Tounkara I.	21. Baret L. 27. Ducourtioux I. 11. Emmanuel M. 19. Ghalem T. 14. Mazaudier M. 33. Piot T. 40. Roperti A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Ndiaye J. ⚽, Abu D. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Gauthier A. ⚽, Kouassi E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Dembele M. ↓, Ghalem T. ↑,
59', Marechal T. 🟨,
62', Gauthier A. ↓, Baret L. ↑,
62', Faty M. ↓, Emmanuel M. ↑,
74', Marcel V. ↓, Boiteau L. ↑,
74', Rocchia C. ↓, Meite A. ↑,
83', Rouai M. 🟨,
83', Diomande D. ↓, Linyon D. ↑,
85', Nsingi P. ↓, Mazaudier M. ↑,
85', Mroivili R. ↓, Ducourtioux I. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Linyon D. ⚽,
90+2', Ndiaye J. ↓, Nyemb C. ↑,
90+2', Marechal T. ↓, Tounkara I. ↑,
90+2', Zogba M. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 15th and 9th).

Valenciennes is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Le Puy has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Valenciennes has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Valenciennes against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Le Puy-en-Velay	9	4	1	4	11:9	2	13
15	Valenciennes	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 3
19.09.26	La Roche VF - Valenciennes	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Valenciennes - Fleury 91	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Rouen FC - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Valenciennes - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
20.08.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTTL
- Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne
French Ligue 3
19.09.26	Le Puy - Villefranche	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Quevilly - Le Puy	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Le Puy - Orleans	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Cannes - Le Puy	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Le Puy - Amiens	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
23.01.26	Le Puy - Valenciennes	3:0
15.08.25	Valenciennes - Le Puy	2:1

Valenciennes - Le Puy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide