Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP IV - ROUND 9

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski		Podhale Nowy Targ

	1	X	2
	2.84	3.55	2.1
	2.94	3.6	2.12	Watch
	2.67	3.55	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.5)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	2.14 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
32.2%

Draw
25.4%

Podhale Nowy Targ
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.3%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

26.2%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Podhale Nowy Targ's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Podhale Nowy Targ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
16.09.23	Wieczysta Kraków - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	3:2 ✺
09.09.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Wisłoka Dębica	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Unia Tarnów - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	2:0 ✺
27.08.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:2 ✺
23.08.23	Sokół Sieniawa - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLT
- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
16.09.23	Podhale Nowy Targ - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:0 ✺
08.09.23	Wiązownica - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:2 ✺
02.09.23	Podhale Nowy Targ - Avia Świdnik	1:6 ✺
27.08.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:0 ✺
23.08.23	Podhale Nowy Targ - Garbarnia Kraków	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
29.04.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Podhale Nowy Targ	3:2
24.09.22	Podhale Nowy Targ - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	0:1
15.05.22	Podhale Nowy Targ - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	1:0
10.10.21	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:1
29.05.21	Podhale Nowy Targ - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	1:1
31.10.20	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:2
31.08.19	Podhale Nowy Targ - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	2:1

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