Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 31

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Chełmianka Chełm		Podhale Nowy Targ

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.35
	2.55	3.55	2.34
	2.52	3.67	2.38	Watch
	2.49	3.6	2.32	Watch
	2.55	3.55	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.48)	3.55 ↑ (3.4)	2.35 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chełmianka Chełm
36%

Draw
25.4%

Podhale Nowy Targ
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.7%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

26.7%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chełmianka Chełm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Chełmianka Chełm - Podhale Nowy Targ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Korbecki B. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Kasprzyk D. ⚽,
29', 3 - 0, Kasprzyk D. ⚽,
36', Sarnowski L. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
81', 3 - 1, Duda P. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 2, Burkiewicz A. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chełmianka won 4.

Chełmianka is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Podhale is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chełmianka won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 2.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chełmianka won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
16.05.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Korona Kielce 2	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Chełmianka Chełm	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Chełmianka Chełm	3:0 ✺
19.04.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	5:4
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLW
- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
16.05.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Wisła II Kraków	4:2 ✺
10.05.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Wisłoka Dębica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.10.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chełmianka Chełm	3:2
23.03.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chełmianka Chełm	1:2
27.08.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:0
03.06.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:1
05.11.22	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chełmianka Chełm	1:3
27.04.22	Chełmianka Chełm - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:1
18.09.21	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chełmianka Chełm	1:5

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