Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP IV - ROUND 11

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday


	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski		Siarka Tarnobrzeg

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.55
	4.81	3.67	1.6
	4.85	3.92	1.56	Watch
	4.9	4.6	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (4.25)	4 ↓ (4.25)	1.54 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
18.7%

Draw
22.6%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

20.9%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Siarka Tarnobrzeg is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 0-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.09.23	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	2:3 ✺
23.09.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Wieczysta Kraków - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	3:2 ✺
09.09.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Wisłoka Dębica	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Unia Tarnów - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLTL
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.09.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Wiązownica - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:1 ✺
15.09.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Avia Świdnik	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Garbarnia Kraków	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.06.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	2:0
13.11.21	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:2
24.04.21	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:1
12.09.20	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	3:0
20.10.19	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:2

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