Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Siarka Tarnobrzeg		Avia Świdnik

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.45	2.15
	2.81	3.56	2.19	Watch
	2.82	3.44	2.21	Watch
	2.8	3.33	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.81)	3.45 ↓ (3.48)	2.19 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
32.3%

Draw
26.3%

Avia Świdnik
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

26.1%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

25.6%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Siarka Tarnobrzeg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Avia Świdnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Avia Świdnik Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Misztal K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', 0 - 1, Zuber M. ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, Nechyporenko S. ⚽,
74', 2 - 1, Matuszewski T. ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, Raciniewski J. (Own goal),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Avia Świdnik has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.10.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Naprzód Jędrzejów	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Czarni Połaniec - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:5 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Hutnik	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLL
- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.10.25	Avia Świdnik - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Avia Świdnik - Wiślanie Skawina	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Avia Świdnik	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.25	Avia Świdnik - Ruch Chorzów	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Avia Świdnik - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
21.05.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Avia Świdnik	3:2
26.10.24	Avia Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:0
13.04.24	Avia Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2
15.09.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Avia Świdnik	2:1
27.04.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Avia Świdnik	0:1
18.09.21	Avia Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:2
15.05.21	Avia Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:1

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