The best margin for this event is 11.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orsha 37.8%
Draw 23.4%
Dinamo Minsk 2 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
23.4%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
23.3%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orsha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Dinamo Minsk 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsha than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Minsk 2 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Orsha - Dinamo Minsk 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Volodkov A. (G) 10. Alexandrovich A. 8. Berezun I. 7. Bobchenok N. 93. Bordukov P. 22. Kudinov E. 17. Kulesh Y. 82. Shalychev V. 11. Stain D. 5. Tarbyakov N. 9. Tikhomirov D.
12. Radkevich D. (G) 14. Chernyavskiy M. 24. Chumak A. 19. Degtyarenko D. 20. Gudach T. 5. Kibak V. 22. Kolesnikovich N. 4. Leontyuk D. 9. Lutskovich A. 17. Penkrat A. 25. Varonin U.
Substitutes
69. Bulakhov S. 3. Bykov N. 14. Dambrovsky A. 19. Kostyukovich V. 52. Kravchenko R. (G) 16. Pashkevich M. 88. Rudenok D. 13. Strebtsov D. 18. Volchenko N. 77. Zheleznikov G.
1. Aleksandrovich A. (G) 15. Bachauskas I. 18. Drozd G. 8. Grabtsevich A. 2. Nizovtsev M. 23. Raptunovich N. 16. Sereda G. 7. Titov N. 11. Yastachkin A. 21. Zhigimont S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Chumak A. ⚽, Lutskovich A. (A),
10', Lutskovich A. 🟨,
37', Tarbyakov N. 🟨,
43', Kolesnikovich N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Kolesnikovich N. ↓, Drozd G. ↑,
46', Lutskovich A. ↓, Yastachkin A. ↑,
46', 0 - 2, Chernyavskiy M. ⚽,
49', 0 - 3, Varonin U. ⚽, Degtyarenko D. (A),
52', Berezun I. 🟨,
52', Tikhomirov D. ↓, Pashkevich M. ↑,
52', Kulesh Y. ↓, Kostyukovich V. ↑,
52', Kudinov E. ↓, Zheleznikov G. ↑,
62', Gudach T. ↓, Grabtsevich A. ↑,
68', Stain D. ↓, Strebtsov D. ↑,
77', Degtyarenko D. ↓, Raptunovich N. ↑,
80', Chumak A. ↓, Bachauskas I. ↑,
81', 0 - 4, Yastachkin A. ⚽, Grabtsevich A. (A),
90+3', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).
Orsha has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Dinamo Minsk 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Orsha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Orsha has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Orsha won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Orsha won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).