The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orsha 44.8%
Draw 23.1%
BATE 2 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
23.8%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
23.1%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orsha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
BATE 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsha than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE 2 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Orsha - BATE 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Volodkov A. (G) 10. Alexandrovich A. 7. Bobchenok N. 93. Bordukov P. 3. Bykov N. 22. Kudinov E. 16. Pashkevich M. 82. Shalychev V. 11. Stain D. 5. Tarbyakov N. 77. Zheleznikov G.
35. Zhurba V. (G) 18. Apanasevich K. 9. Gavrilov M. 10. Grivenev E. 8. Kolosovskiy P. 21. Kuimov I. 77. Kuzmenok Y. 47. Machnach E. 4. Shcherbakov N. 11. Titov M. 24. Yatskevich V.
Substitutes
8. Berezun I. 69. Bulakhov S. 14. Dambrovsky A. 19. Kostukovic V. 52. Kravchenko R. (G) 17. Kulesh Y. 88. Rudenok D. 13. Strebtsov D. 9. Tikhomirov D. 18. Volchenko N.
7. Aliyev R. 6. Karpovich M. 27. Karshakevich D. 66. Kisel V. 16. Klyakin M. (G) 17. Sargsyan T. 3. Shakhnovich E. 14. Telesh M. 45. Tolkach M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Kuimov I. ⚽,
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, Yatskevich V. ⚽, Apanasevich K. (A),
61', 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Alexandrovich A. ⚽, Strebtsov D. (A),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In recent matches, Orsha has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
BATE 2 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
BATE 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Orsha could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Orsha won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.8:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Orsha won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).