The best margin for this event is 11.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orsha 15.7%
Draw 18.1%
Soligorsk 66.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.1%
20.1%
57.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.7%
18.7%
53.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orsha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orsha's form might have worsened.
Soligorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Soligorsk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsha than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orsha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Soligorsk than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Soligorsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Volodkov A. (G) 7. Bobchenok N. 93. Bordukov P. 3. Bykov N. 22. Kudinov E. 16. Pashkevich M. 82. Shalychev V. 11. Stain D. 5. Tarbyakov N. 9. Tikhomirov D. 77. Zheleznikov G. (C)
35. Yukhnovich V. (G) 22. Chakur A. 17. Kobenko M. 11. Kutsepalov D. 97. Muzychenko Y. 12. Novik K. 7. Sen I. 99. Shaula N. 88. Shulyak D. 21. Syrisko V. 80. Yankovskiy K. (C)
Substitutes
10. Alexandrovich A. 8. Berezun I. 14. Dambrovsky A. 80. Komarov Y. 52. Kravchenko R. (G) 17. Kulesh Y. 88. Rudenok D. 13. Strebtsov D. 19. Vekhtev N. 18. Volchenko N.
14. Bystrov A. 1. Dostanko I. (G) 9. Ganich V. 6. Korolik V. 4. Korshun N. 15. Lozhachnik D. 2. Perepechko A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Bordukov P. ⚽, Bobchenok N. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Pashkevich M. ⚽, Volodkov A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', Vekhtev N. (Penalty Awarded),
74', 🟨,
76', 3 - 0, Kudinov E. ⚽, Vekhtev N. (A),
87', 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6).
Orsha has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Soligorsk's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).