The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Junior Barranquilla 24.8%
Draw 27.1%
Orsomarso 48.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
27.8%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
28%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Junior Barranquilla's form might have worsened.
Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orsomarso's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orsomarso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Junior Barranquilla - Orsomarso Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Junior (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Montanez J. (G) 8. Arroyo C. (C) 11. Arroyo S. 7. Baldovino M. 20. Carrasquilla D. 13. Cordero C. 18. Julio D. 9. Mendoza O. 27. Miranda Y. 2. Morales M. 3. Romero J.
12. Murillo G. (G) 25. Aguilar M. 3. Arroyo L. 2. Carvajal M. (C) 23. Goyes V. 5. Gutierrez M. 21. Ibarguen L. 8. Moreno M. 11. Palacios V. 16. Sanchez S. 7. Urrutia K.
Substitutes
29. Arias S. 19. Campos J. 14. Cardona M. 16. Castaneda M. 21. De la Hoz D. 12. Gonzalez V. (G) 4. Marin S.
19. Aguirre M. 1. Catillo L. (G) 9. Garcia H. 24. Lasso Sanchez B. 20. Orozco N. 15. Ramirez M. 4. Ruiz N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Palacios V. ⚽, Goyes V. (A),
16', 0 - 2, Carvajal M. (Pen),
35', 0 - 3, Sanchez S. ⚽, Palacios V. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Miranda Y. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
50', Moreno M. 🟨,
54', 0 - 4, Palacios V. ⚽,
57', Arroyo C. 🟨,
61', Gutierrez M. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
62', Urrutia K. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,
67', 0 - 5, Ramirez M. ⚽,
68', Mendoza O. ↓, De la Hoz D. ↑,
73', 1 - 5, Arroyo S. ⚽,
73', Sanchez S. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
82', Garcia H. 🟨,
83', Goyes V. ↓, Orozco N. ↑,
88', 1 - 6, Carvajal M. (Pen),
90+2', 2 - 6, Cardona M. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).
Junior has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Orsomarso has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Orsomarso is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Junior won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Watch
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Montanez J. (G) 
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