The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orsomarso 13.7%
Draw 23.4%
Independiente Santa Fe 62.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.2%
30.4%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
30.5%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orsomarso's form might have worsened.
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orsomarso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-18.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Orsomarso - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Otero M. 18. Ferrin H. 3. Ramos T. 4. Vergara M. 6. Tenorio K. 24. Lasso Sanchez B. 25. Aguilar M. 2. Iglesias A. 15. Sanchez A. 7. Asprilla F. 14. Rivera T.
1. Martinez W. (G) 21. Valbuena K. 4. Perez A. 33. Tovar L. 3. Motta C. 5. Baldallo M. 16. Hernandez K. 24. Marcano T. 7. Zamorano M. 20. Orozco N. 9. Graterol F.
Substitutes
20. Cassiani Y. 16. Florez M. 8. Garcia H. 23. Goyes V. 9. Macias P. 19. Sandoval A.
35. Castaneda A. 13. de la Cruz I. 22. Diaz M. (G) 17. Garavito D. 19. Huertas G. 25. Posada S. 31. Valencia S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Orozco N. ⚽, Zamorano M. (A),
45+1', Valbuena K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Graterol F. ↓, Huertas G. ↑,
71', Sanchez A. ↓, Cassiani Y. ↑,
73', Orozco N. ↓, Garavito D. ↑,
81', 🟨,
82', Rivera T. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,
86', Perez A. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Aguilar M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
90+8', 🟥,
90+10', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 1.
Orsomarso has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Santa Fe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Santa Fe is considered a favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Orsomarso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
Watch
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Otero M. 
Ferrin H. 
Baldallo M. 
Castaneda A. 
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