The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Cali 55.6%
Draw 26.2%
Independiente Santa Fe 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.4%
24.1%
13.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.9%
23.5%
13.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Cali's form might have worsened.
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Cali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-5%)
Deportivo Cali - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Sanchez M. (G) 3. Osorio K. 24. Bermeo J. 5. Perlaza S. 2. Salazar A. 29. Morales M. 23. Montoya Z. 6. Medina P. 20. Viancha K. 18. Guerra I. 19. Aponza M.
1. Martinez W. (G) 21. Valbuena K. 4. Perez A. 35. Cortes I. 3. Motta C. 16. Hernandez K. 5. Baldallo M. 24. Marcano T. 13. de la Cruz I. 17. Garavito D. 7. Zamorano M.
Substitutes
13. Cardenas V. 10. Castellanos D. 30. Cobos L. 4. Fisgativa A. 44. Ruiz N. 26. Sanchez L. 1. Vera A. (G)
23. Cabrera M. 14. Castaneda A. 34. Diaz A. 22. Diaz M. (G) 9. Graterol F. 19. Huertas G. 20. Orozco N. 25. Posada S. 31. Valencia S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Zamorano M. ⚽, Marcano T. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Aponza M. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Guerra I. ⚽, Viancha K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', de la Cruz I. ↓, Huertas G. ↑,
53', Baldallo M. 🟨,
56', 3 - 1, Cortes I. (Own goal),
61', Baldallo M. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
63', 3 - 2, Zamorano M. ⚽, Diaz A. (A),
68', Medina P. ↓, Cardenas V. ↑,
70', Hernandez K. ↓, Posada S. ↑,
74', Osorio K. 🟨,
81', Garavito D. ↓, Graterol F. ↑,
82', Osorio K. ↓, Fisgativa A. ↑,
83', Aponza M. ↓, Castellanos D. ↑,
88', Salazar A. ↓, Ruiz N. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 2, Guerra I. ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 3-2.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 3.
Deportivo Cali is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Santa Fe have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The betting markets point to Deportivo Cali as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cali has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 27:12 (averaging 1.7:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Cali against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 13:4 goals (averaging 1.9:0.6 per game).
Colombia
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Sanchez M. (G) 
Osorio K. 
Baldallo M. 
Vera A. (G) 
Castaneda A. 
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