Match Info

Liga Women - Round 8

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Francisco Rivera Escobar (Palmira)


	Orsomarso		Once Caldas

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	4.1
	1.9	3.22	3.9
	1.69	3.53	4.67	Watch
	1.68	3.92	4.36	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.5)	3.49 ↑ (3.44)	4.23 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orsomarso
52%

Draw
26.3%

Once Caldas
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

26.5%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26.3%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orsomarso's performance.

Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Once Caldas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orsomarso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Once Caldas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orsomarso - Once Caldas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Orsomarso (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Orsomarso will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Orsomarso (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Murillo G. (G) 25. Aguilar M. 2. Carvajal M. 5. Gutierrez M. 21. Ibarguen L. 8. Moreno M. 11. Palacios V. 17. Renteria K. 4. Ruiz N. 16. Sanchez S. 7. Urrutia K.	25. Agamez D. (G) 4. Giraldo C. 19. Gomez E. 15. Gomez L. 7. Infante Suarez N. C. 24. Martinez A. 3. Navas S. 17. Orozco M. 14. Pastrana N. 5. Ruiz N. 8. Valencia D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Urrutia K. ⚽, Aguilar M. (A),
16', Renteria K. 🟨,
44', Valencia D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Martinez A. ↓, Patino S. ↑,
46', Patino S. 🟨,
56', Moreno M. ↓, Mera A. ↑,
68', Orozco M. ↓, Alonso N. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Gutierrez M. ⚽, Palacios V. (A),
71', Navas S. 🟨,
74', Gomez L. ↓, Castillo I. ↑,
76', Castillo I. 🟨,
81', Navas S. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Urrutia K. ⚽, Palacios V. (A),
85', Renteria K. ↓, Lasso Sanchez B. ↑,
86', Urrutia K. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
88', Palacios V. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
89', Sanchez S. ↓, Vergara M. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).

Orsomarso is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Once Caldas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Once Caldas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orsomarso SC Women
Colombian Liga Women
14.04.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Orsomarso - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Alianza Valledupar - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Orsomarso - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Orsomarso - Fortaleza CEIF	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLLW
- Once Caldas Women
Colombian Liga Women
12.04.25	Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas	1:3 ✺
27.03.25	Once Caldas - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	La Equidad - Once Caldas	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.9 WWLLT

Orsomarso - Once Caldas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide