Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group E - Round 31

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Orvietana		Pianese

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.97	3.04	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.85)	3.07 ↓ (3.35)	2.29 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orvietana
31.3%

Draw
29.4%

Pianese
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

27.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

26.9%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orvietana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Mignani G. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Mignani G. ⚽,
25', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Orvietana is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pianese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Orvietana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orvietana Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
07.04.24	San Donato Tavarnelle - Orvietana	0:1 ✺
27.03.24	Orvietana - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	Real Forte Querceta - Orvietana	2:2 ✺
17.03.24	Orvietana - Poggibonsi	1:4 ✺
10.03.24	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Orvietana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTLT
- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group E
07.04.24	Pianese - Grosseto	1:3 ✺
28.03.24	San Donato Tavarnelle - Pianese	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Pianese - Montevarchi	4:3 ✺
17.03.24	Pianese - Real Forte Querceta	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Livorno - Pianese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
03.12.23	Pianese - Orvietana	1:1
05.02.23	Pianese - Orvietana	1:1

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