Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Piancastagnaio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Pianese		Grosseto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.90	2.70
	2.40	2.88	2.70	Watch
	2.52	2.99	3.12
	2.57	2.97	2.77	Watch
	2.45	2.85	3.05
	2.48	3.23	2.81	Watch
	2.50	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.55)	2.97 ↑ (2.95)	2.84 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pianese
36.9%

Draw
30.9%

Grosseto
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

30.6%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

32.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Pianese - Grosseto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astaldi G. (G) 13. Ercolani L. 56. Masetti L. 16. Chesti F. 20. Vigiani L. 21. Tirelli M. 27. Bertini M. 30. Proietto F. (C) 77. Martey C. 11. Bellini L. 10. Ianesi S.	35. Marcu A. (G) 91. Pitti E. 23. Ampollini F. 27. Brenna D. (C) 47. Mannelli M. 11. Fiorini P. 5. Sabattini L. 29. Andreoli L. 8. Damiani M. 70. Fabri F. 9. Gori L.
Substitutes
4. Casalino T. 7. Colombo M. 74. Corti T. 37. Di Cosmo L. 29. Fabrizi L. 15. Gorelli M. 19. Morelli G. 14. Negri G. 5. Peli L. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 23. Pintus N. 17. Xhani K. 12. Zambuto A. (G)	24. Alfani L. 75. Brancato A. 1. Cabella M. (G) 32. Ciraudo A. 99. Della Mora T. 25. Fantacci T. 16. Fiorani M. 28. Gaddini M. 21. Gonnelli L. 77. Lorenzelli E. 18. Lorenzini J. 10. Mastroianni F. 12. Menicucci D. (G) 19. Montini A. 39. Tosi L.
Coaches
Zanchetta A.	Indiani P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Bellini L. 🟨,
63', Tirelli M. ↓, Di Cosmo L. ↑,
67', Fabri F. 🟨,
72', Fabri F. ↓, Fantacci T. ↑,
72', Vigiani L. ↓, Colombo M. ↑,
77', Fiorini P. ↓, Gaddini M. ↑,
82', Bellini L. ↓, Fabrizi L. ↑,
82', Ianesi S. ↓, Peli L. ↑,
86', Mannelli M. ↓, Montini A. ↑,
86', Gori L. ↓, Mastroianni F. ↑,
90+2', Damiani M. 🟨,

Preview

Pianese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Grosseto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pianese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Grosseto has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pianese won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pianese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Grosseto	9	5	3	1	17:9	8	18
15	Pianese	9	1	4	4	6:10	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
05.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Pianese	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Pianese - Vado	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Campobasso - Pianese	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Carpi - Pianese	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Pianese - Montevarchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLLW
- FC Grosseto
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.09.26	Grosseto - Latina	1:4 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
06.09.26	Grosseto - Sassari Torres	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ostia Mare - Grosseto	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.26	Grosseto - Guidonia Montecelio	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Grosseto - Tau Altopascio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.08.25	Pianese - Grosseto	4:0
Italian Serie D - Group E
07.04.24	Pianese - Grosseto	1:3
26.11.23	Grosseto - Pianese	1:1
30.04.23	Grosseto - Pianese	1:1
18.12.22	Pianese - Grosseto	1:1

Pianese - Grosseto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide