Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Play Out - Final

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Orvietana		Poggibonsi

	1	X	2
	2.14	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.1)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)	3.2 ↑ (3.15)

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orvietana
42.4%

Draw
29.3%

Poggibonsi
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.2%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

30.3%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orvietana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Poggibonsi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orvietana won 1.

Orvietana is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Poggibonsi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Orvietana has had a series of away games.

Orvietana could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orvietana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Orvietana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orvietana Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
19.04.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Orvietana	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Poggibonsi - Orvietana	4:0 ✺
29.03.26	Orvietana - Cannara	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Tau Altopascio - Orvietana	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Trestina - Orvietana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTLT
- Poggibonsi
Italian Serie D - Group E
12.04.26	Camaiore - Poggibonsi	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Poggibonsi - Orvietana	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	Montevarchi - Poggibonsi	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Poggibonsi - Trestina	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Seravezza Pozzi - Poggibonsi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
02.04.26	Poggibonsi - Orvietana	4:0
23.11.25	Orvietana - Poggibonsi	4:0
09.03.25	Orvietana - Poggibonsi	0:1
17.03.24	Orvietana - Poggibonsi	1:4
15.11.23	Poggibonsi - Orvietana	1:0
29.01.23	Orvietana - Poggibonsi	0:0
27.09.22	Poggibonsi - Orvietana	2:2

Orvietana - Poggibonsi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide