Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 9

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Oryol		Spartak Tambov

	1	X	2
	5.67	3.1	1.66
	7	3.4	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.34 ↑ (5.67)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)	1.56 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oryol
14.3%

Draw
27.8%

Spartak Tambov
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

29.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

29.2%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oryol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Spartak Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Tambov than the current prediction. (-3%)

Oryol - Spartak Tambov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
19', 0 - 1, Petrov R. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Petrov R. ⚽,
35', 0 - 3, Kuptsov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
73', 1 - 3, Pyatin S. ⚽,
81', 1 - 4, Chasovskikh A. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 5, Bzikadze I. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Oryol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Spartak Tambov is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Spartak Tambov is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Oryol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Oryol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Spartak Tambov	26	20	3	3	47:14	33	63
10	Oryol	26	8	5	13	29:44	-15	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Oryol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
16.05.26	Oryol - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Oryol - Volna Kovernino	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Ryazan - Oryol	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Oryol - Rotor 2	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Kvant Obninsk - Oryol	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTTW
- Spartak Tambov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
16.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Rodina Moscow 3	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Zenit Penza	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Spartak Tambov	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Strogino Moskva - Spartak Tambov	0:6 ✺
11.04.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Spartak Tambov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
03.08.25	Oryol - Spartak Tambov	0:2
12.04.25	Spartak Tambov - Oryol	4:0
11.08.24	Spartak Tambov - Oryol	1:0

Oryol - Spartak Tambov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide