Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 6

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Barueri (Barueri)


	Osasco Sporting		Grêmio Prudente

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.65
	2.46	3	2.8
	2.58	2.99	2.88
	2.38	3.02	2.97	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.8
	2.23	3.33	3.12	Watch
	2.46	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (1.75)	3.05 ↓ (3.48)	2.86 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasco Sporting
37.6%

Draw
30.2%

Grêmio Prudente
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.2%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

25.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasco Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Osasco Sporting's form might have worsened.

Grêmio Prudente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio Prudente's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osasco Sporting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Prudente than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Prudente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Osasco Sporting - Grêmio Prudente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Oeste is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Grêmio Prudente is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grêmio Prudente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Oeste will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
29.01.25	CA Juventus - Osasco Sporting	2:3 ✺
26.01.25	Osasco Sporting - São Bento	2:0 ✺
22.01.25	Votuporanguense - Osasco Sporting	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Ferroviária - Osasco Sporting	0:1 ✺
15.01.25	Osasco Sporting - Piracicaba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 WWWWL
- Grêmio Prudente
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
29.01.25	Grêmio Prudente - EC Primavera	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	Piracicaba - Grêmio Prudente	1:0 ✺
22.01.25	Grêmio Prudente - São Bento	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Ituano - Grêmio Prudente	3:2 ✺
15.01.25	Grêmio Prudente - São José-SP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLW

Osasco Sporting - Grêmio Prudente: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide