Match Info
Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 9Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Osasco Sporting |
|
Santo André |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.1 |
2.92 |
3.4 |
|
 |
2.12 |
2.94 |
3.68 |
|
 |
2.11 |
2.96 |
3.55 |
 Watch |
 |
2.05 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
|
 |
2.14 |
3.23 |
3.44 |
Watch |
 |
2.1 |
2.85 |
3.66 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.34) |
2.97 ↓
(3.09) |
3.52 ↑
(2.92) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Osasco Sporting
43.4% | Draw
30.7% | Santo André
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osasco Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Santo André has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santo André might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santo André could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Osasco Sporting - Santo André Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, Matheus Martins ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 2 - 0, Juninho ⚽,
- 87', 🟥,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Hanry T. ⚽,
- 90+6', 🟥,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasco Sporting won 1.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. Osasco Sporting could have a small edge in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Osasco Sporting won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.5:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, Osasco Sporting won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Osasco Sporting - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.08%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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