Match Info

CROATIA: HNL - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday

Location: Opus Arena (Osijek)

Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	Osijek		Šibenik

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	6
	1.46	4.33	6.75
	1.45	4.33	6.5
	1.44	4.41	7.32
	1.44	4.4	6.9	Watch
	1.44	4	7
	1.49	4.46	6.18	Watch
	1.44	4.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.36)	4.32 ↓ (4.67)	6.71 ↓ (7.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osijek
64.5%

Draw
21.6%

Šibenik
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

19.9%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

18.9%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Šibenik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osijek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	24%	8%

Osijek - Šibenik Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Šibenik will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Malenica M. (C) 55. Cvijanovic I. 13. Tuia A. 26. Jelenic L. 22. Jurisic R. 6. Babec H. 20. Dantas T. 39. Bukvic D. 14. Soldo M. 34. Matkovic A. 17. Jakupovic A.	1. Djakovic A. (G) 55. Peric S. 23. Nizic Z. 24. Puncec R. 43. Grzan S. 88. Prekodravac M. 8. Bakic O. 32. Durakovic E. 11. Laca I. 18. Santini I. (C) 9. Bozic I.
Substitutes
9. Ademi K. 27. Hernani 38. Hlapcic J. (G) 7. Jugovic V. 98. Mikolcic S. 5. Mkrtchyan S. 36. Omerovic N. 10. Pedro Lima 66. Pusic P. 15. Sajko T. (G) 4. Vrbanac K. 24. Zivkovic F.	2. Brajkovic B. 5. Cvek L. 4. Gacic J. 17. Koscevic Z. 27. Kulusic L. 3. Liu A. 7. Majic J. 25. Mohorovic P. (G) 28. Roca I. 30. Zdunic B.
Coaches
Coppitelli F.	Vidovic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Santini I. ⚽,
11', Peric S. ↓, Cvek L. ↑,
17', Puncec R. 🟨,
25', 1 - 1, Jakupovic A. ⚽,
33', Prekodravac M. 🟨,
34', 2 - 1, Jakupovic A. ⚽,
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Soldo M. ↓, Jugovic V. ↑,
60', 2 - 2, Laca I. ⚽,
71', Puncec R. 🟨,
74', Cvijanovic I. ↓, Omerovic N. ↑,
74', Bukvic D. ↓, Hernani ↑,
74', Babec H. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
75', Bozic I. ↓, Zdunic B. ↑,
86', Dantas T. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
87', Laca I. ↓, Liu A. ↑,
87', Prekodravac M. ↓, Roca I. ↑,
90+1', Djakovic A. 🟨,
90+5', Santini I. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 4 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Osijek won 3.

Osijek is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Šibenik is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Osijek could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Osijek have a series of home games.

In this match Osijek is certain favorite.

There will not play in Šibenik: Agyemang M. (Red Card) Kavelj A. (Red Card) Pozo I. (Yellow Cards)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Osijek won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 34:7 (average 2.3:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Osijek won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:4 (average 1.7:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Osijek
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Osijek - Celje	2:2 ✺
15.01.25	Osijek - Orijent	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Osijek - Domžale	2:1 ✺
09.01.25	Osijek - Opatija	4:4 ✺
Croatian HNL
20.12.24	Osijek - Istra 1961	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWWTT
- HNK Šibenik
Club Friendly
17.01.25	Šibenik - GOŠK Gabela	4:0 ✺
11.01.25	Zalaegerszegi TE - Šibenik	2:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
22.12.24	Šibenik - Hajduk Split	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Istra 1961 - Šibenik	3:3 ✺
08.12.24	Šibenik - Rijeka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
19.10.24	Šibenik - Osijek	1:3
04.08.24	Osijek - Šibenik	1:2
19.05.23	Šibenik - Osijek	1:4
18.03.23	Osijek - Šibenik	0:0
13.11.22	Šibenik - Osijek	0:2
03.09.22	Osijek - Šibenik	1:1
20.03.22	Šibenik - Osijek	0:3

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