Match Info

HNL - Round 34

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Šubićevac (Šibenik)

Referee: Culina A. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3


	Šibenik		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	6	3.75	1.55
	5.5	3.7	1.62	Watch
	6	3.75	1.57
	6.98	3.76	1.54
	6.61	3.77	1.54	Watch
	5.5	3.5	1.62
	6.42	3.72	1.57	Watch
	6	3.75	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.13 ↑ (4.8)	3.71 ↑ (3.45)	1.57 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šibenik
15.3%

Draw
25.2%

Rijeka
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

27.2%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

26.6%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šibenik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rijeka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	0%	94.7%

Šibenik - Rijeka Predictions

Users Predictions: Rijeka will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rijeka will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Filipovic I. (G) 55. Peric S. 15. Agyemang M. 44. Zuta L. 43. Grzan S. 21. Pozo I. 8. Bakic O. 32. Durakovic E. 36. Kavelj A. 18. Santini I. (C) 11. Laca I.	13. Zlomislic M. (C) 17. Menalo L. 45. Majstorovic A. 6. Radeljic S. 3. Goda B. 8. Petrovic D. 18. Selahi L. 7. Djouahra N. 10. Fruk T. 11. Rukavina G. 9. Cop D.
Substitutes
9. Bozic I. 70. Jakolis A. 22. Kolega T. 27. Kulusic L. 3. Liu A. 7. Majic J. 25. Mohorovic P. (G) 28. Roca I. 30. Zdunic B.	30. Bogojevic B. 27. Butic S. 20. Dogan D. 14. Gojak A. 21. Ilinkovic S. 2. Kitin L. 15. Manev J. 22. Orec A. 37. Saho C. 99. Todorovic A. (G)
Coaches
Vidovic R.	Djalovic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Bakic O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Zuta L. 🟨,
63', Cop D. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Djouahra N. ⚽, Fruk T. (A),
72', Bakic O. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
72', Kavelj A. ↓, Majic J. ↑,
78', Rukavina G. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
79', Durakovic E. ↓, Kolega T. ↑,
79', Laca I. ↓, Bozic I. ↑,
86', Santini I. 🟨,
90+1', Djouahra N. ↓, Orec A. ↑,
90+2', Pozo I. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Šibenik won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Šibenik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rijeka is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Šibenik: Cvek L. (Yellow Cards) Nizic Z. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rijeka: Devetak M. (Yellow Cards) Djalovic R. (Yellow Cards) Jankovic N. (Yellow Cards) Skoric M. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Šibenik won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Šibenik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Šibenik
Croatian HNL
02.05.25	Varaždin - Šibenik	1:1 ✺
28.04.25	Šibenik - Gorica	0:0 ✺
22.04.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Šibenik	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb	0:4 ✺
11.04.25	Slaven Belupo - Šibenik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TTWLL
- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
04.05.25	Rijeka - Gorica	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	1:0 ✺
23.04.25	Rijeka - Osijek	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Istra 1961 - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Rijeka - Varaždin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
07.03.25	Rijeka - Šibenik	1:1
08.12.24	Šibenik - Rijeka	0:1
22.09.24	Rijeka - Šibenik	3:0
08.04.23	Rijeka - Šibenik	1:0
28.01.23	Šibenik - Rijeka	1:2
18.09.22	Rijeka - Šibenik	0:0
16.07.22	Šibenik - Rijeka	0:1

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