Match Info

HNL - Round 36

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Šubićevac (Šibenik)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	Hajduk TV, HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV


	Šibenik		Hajduk Split

	1	X	2
	7	4.33	1.4
	6.25	4.2	1.49	Watch
	7.4	4.5	1.4
	6.97	4.93	1.38
	7.28	4.77	1.39	Watch
	6	3.8	1.53
	8.1	4.7	1.38	Watch
	7.4	4.5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.05 ↑ (6.74)	4.47 ↓ (4.48)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šibenik
13.3%

Draw
20.9%

Hajduk Split
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

20.8%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

20.2%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šibenik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Šibenik - Hajduk Split Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Hajduk Split will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Filipovic I. (G) 5. Cvek L. 3. Liu A. 44. Zuta L. 43. Grzan S. 21. Pozo I. 8. Bakic O. 32. Durakovic E. 36. Kavelj A. 18. Santini I. (C) 11. Laca I.	33. Silic T. (G) 25. Uremovic F. 19. Elez J. 3. Prpic D. 7. Kalik A. 23. Krovinovic F. 11. Rakitic I. 32. Hrgovic S. 77. Rusyn N. 9. Trajkovski A. 10. Livaja M. (C)
Substitutes
15. Agyemang M. 70. Jakolis A. 22. Kolega T. 17. Koscevic Z. 27. Kulusic L. 25. Mohorovic P. (G) 55. Peric S. 30. Zdunic B.	27. Biuk S. 28. Brajkovic R. 26. Capan M. 43. Djolonga N. 34. Durdov B. 91. Kalinic L. (G) 17. Melnjak D. 22. Mlacic B. 21. Pukstas R. 15. Sego M. 36. Skelin M. 6. Zaper M.
Coaches
Vidovic R.	Gattuso G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Silic T. 🟨,
31', Kalik A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pozo I. ↓, Peric S. ↑,
46', Trajkovski A. ↓, Pukstas R. ↑,
46', Rusyn N. ↓, Brajkovic R. ↑,
46', Kalik A. ↓, Sego M. ↑,
64', Laca I. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
64', Kavelj A. ↓, Kolega T. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Pukstas R. ⚽, Brajkovic R. (A),
75', Livaja M. 🟥,
79', Bakic O. ↓, Koscevic Z. ↑,
79', Durakovic E. ↓, Jakolis A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Šibenik is Relegated to Prva NL

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Šibenik won 0.

Šibenik has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hajduk's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Šibenik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hajduk is the clear favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Šibenik won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 11:31. (average 0.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Šibenik won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.9:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Šibenik
Croatian HNL
16.05.25	Istra 1961 - Šibenik	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Šibenik - Rijeka	0:1 ✺
02.05.25	Varaždin - Šibenik	1:1 ✺
28.04.25	Šibenik - Gorica	0:0 ✺
22.04.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Šibenik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLTTW
- Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL
18.05.25	Hajduk Split - Rijeka	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Gorica - Hajduk Split	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb	1:3 ✺
27.04.25	Osijek - Hajduk Split	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Hajduk Split - Istra 1961	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
30.03.25	Hajduk Split - Šibenik	1:0
22.12.24	Šibenik - Hajduk Split	1:2
06.10.24	Hajduk Split - Šibenik	4:0
28.05.23	Hajduk Split - Šibenik	3:0
Croatian Cup
24.05.23	Hajduk Split - Šibenik	2:0
Croatian HNL
01.04.23	Šibenik - Hajduk Split	2:3
22.01.23	Hajduk Split - Šibenik	2:1

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