Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Osijek 2		Varaždin

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.82
	3.65	3.4	1.84
	3.81	4.31	1.53
	2.38	3.3	2.5
	4.25	3.25	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (2.99)	3.53 ↑ (3.24)	1.91 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osijek 2
26%

Draw
25.9%

Varaždin
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

28.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

20.7%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osijek 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Varaždin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varaždin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek 2 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varaždin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Osijek 2 - Varaždin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Osijek 2 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varaždin is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Osijek 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Osijek 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Osijek 2
Croatian Prva NL
16.10.21	Cibalia - Osijek 2	1:0 ✺
02.10.21	Osijek 2 - Opatija	0:2 ✺
26.09.21	Orijent - Osijek 2	0:1 ✺
19.09.21	Osijek 2 - Croatia Zmijavci	1:2 ✺
15.09.21	Dubrava - Osijek 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL
- NK Varaždin
Croatian Prva NL
16.10.21	Opatija - Varaždin	2:2 ✺
02.10.21	Varaždin - Croatia Zmijavci	5:1 ✺
26.09.21	Solin - Varaždin	0:2 ✺
Croatian Cup
22.09.21	Sesvete - Varaždin	2:3 ET ✺
Croatian Prva NL
19.09.21	Varaždin - Dinamo II Zagreb	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
20.04.19	Varaždin - Osijek 2	2:0
13.10.18	Osijek 2 - Varaždin	3:0

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