Match Info

Date: 1 November 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 4d 4h 📅 Remind Me


	Rijeka		Varaždin

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.8
	1.73	3.75	4.33
	1.72	3.55	4.4
	1.74	3.71	4.51
	1.73	3.72	4.47	Watch
	1.69	3.6	4.4
	1.71	3.78	4.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.79)	3.64 ↑ (3.43)	4.32 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijeka
53.3%

Draw
25.3%

Varaždin
21.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

25.7%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Varaždin aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Rijeka - Varaždin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5th and 3rd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Varaždin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Rijeka has faced a series of away games on the road.

Rijeka carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Rijeka has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:23 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rijeka against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:9 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Varazdin	11	5	3	3	15:10	5	18
5	Rijeka	10	5	2	3	17:14	3	17

Last Results with these Odds

Rijeka - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.17%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Varaždin - the odds 4.12 are the expected chance of winning is 22.17%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
27.10.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	2:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
20.10.26	Karlovac - Rijeka	1:4 ✺
Croatian HNL
16.10.26	Rudeš - Rijeka	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Slaven Belupo - Rijeka	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Rijeka - Union Berlin	0:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL
- NK Varaždin
Croatian HNL
24.10.26	Varaždin - Slaven Belupo	1:2 ✺
18.10.26	Hajduk Split - Varaždin	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Varaždin	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Varaždin	0:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
19.09.26	Varaždin - Osijek	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
16.08.26	Varaždin - Rijeka	2:0
22.04.26	Varaždin - Rijeka	1:0
14.02.26	Rijeka - Varaždin	3:1
09.11.25	Varaždin - Rijeka	1:0
24.08.25	Rijeka - Varaždin	1:2
13.04.25	Rijeka - Varaždin	1:0
01.02.25	Varaždin - Rijeka	1:0

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