Match Info

Date: 13 May 2022, Friday

Location: Stadion ŠRC Sesvete (Sesvete)


	Sesvete		Varaždin

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.3	1.83
	3.55	3.25	1.83
	3.85	3.35	1.81
	4.05	3.54	1.87
	3.4	3	2
	3.86	3.58	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.64)	3.34 (3.34)	1.86 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sesvete
24.2%

Draw
27.1%

Varaždin
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27.5%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

26.9%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sesvete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Varaždin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sesvete than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	21.4%	57.1%

Sesvete - Varaždin Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sesvete will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Varaždin will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. HNL).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sesvete won 0.

Recent matches Sesvete is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varaždin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Varaždin will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sesvete won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sesvete won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Sesvete
Croatian Prva NL
06.05.22	Opatija - Sesvete	1:1 ✺
01.05.22	Sesvete - Croatia Zmijavci	2:2 ✺
23.04.22	Solin - Sesvete	4:0 ✺
15.04.22	Sesvete - Dinamo II Zagreb	4:0 ✺
10.04.22	Bijelo Brdo - Sesvete	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLWT
- NK Varaždin
Croatian Prva NL
07.05.22	Varaždin - Jarun Zagreb	4:0 ✺
30.04.22	Rudeš - Varaždin	3:0 ✺
23.04.22	Varaždin - Osijek 2	4:1 ✺
16.04.22	Varaždin - Opatija	4:0 ✺
10.04.22	Croatia Zmijavci - Varaždin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
20.11.21	Varaždin - Sesvete	2:1
Croatian Cup
22.09.21	Sesvete - Varaždin	2:3 ET
Croatian Prva NL
25.05.19	Sesvete - Varaždin	1:1
17.11.18	Varaždin - Sesvete	3:0
14.04.18	Sesvete - Varaždin	0:2
04.11.17	Sesvete - Varaždin	3:2
03.09.17	Varaždin - Sesvete	0:2

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