Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni (Ospitaletto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ospitaletto		Juventus U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.10	3.50
	2.08	2.90	3.20
	1.96	3.25	4.19
	2.31	3.04	3.07	Watch
	1.94	3.15	4.05
	1.92	3.43	3.89	Watch
	2.13	3.05	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.38)	3.13 ↑ (3.08)	3.6 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospitaletto
45.1%

Draw
29.4%

Juventus U23
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.5%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29.7%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ospitaletto's performance.

Juventus U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventus U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ospitaletto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventus U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ospitaletto - Juventus U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ferrante M. (G) 16. Gualandris M. 4. Nessi R. 3. Possenti M. 20. Casali M. 43. Guarneri M. 28. Panatti M. (C) 8. Tigani E. 14. Galuppini F. 9. Gobbi F. 77. Stefanoni D.	40. Radu R. (G) 2. Rizzo N. 44. Montero A. 13. Verde F. 15. Savio F. 5. Macca F. 72. Melegoni F. 11. Amaradio L. 17. Guerra S. (C) 21. Merola A. 29. Konate I.
Substitutes
10. Cantamessa S. 1. Fratti C. (G) 7. Messaggi C. 26. Mondini G. 55. Mundi R. (G) 18. Paganotti M. 15. Parmiggiani P. 17. Plutnik A. 11. Ragnoli Galli F. 21. Torri A. 45. Valente M. 24. Valota G.	18. Brugarello M. 25. Camara A. 30. Cat Berro S. (G) 9. Durmisi A. 14. Elimoghale D. 1. Fuscaldo M. (G) 48. Grelaud J. 27. Leone F. 6. Makiobo G. 26. Ripani D. 34. Turco S. 4. van Aarle S.
Coaches
Quaresmini A.	Brambilla M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Stefanoni D. ⚽, Galuppini F. (A),
45+1', Verde F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Gobbi F. ↓, Torri A. ↑,
60', Guerra S. ↓, Elimoghale D. ↑,
61', Rizzo N. ↓, Grelaud J. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Nessi R. ⚽, Tigani E. (A),
72', Amaradio L. ↓, Durmisi A. ↑,
72', Macca F. ↓, Makiobo G. ↑,
73', Stefanoni D. ↓, Messaggi C. ↑,
73', Tigani E. ↓, Mondini G. ↑,
76', Casali M. 🟨,
79', 3 - 0, Torri A. ⚽, Messaggi C. (A),
84', Galuppini F. ↓, Valente M. ↑,
84', Casali M. ↓, Valota G. ↑,
85', Merola A. ↓, Leone F. ↑,
90+1', Grelaud J. 🟨,

Preview

Ospitaletto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Juventus U23 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	8	15
18	Juventus U23	8	1	3	4	8:15	-7	6

Last Results with these Odds

Juventus U23 - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.21%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
06.09.26	Ospitaletto - Union ArzignanoChiampo	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	AlbinoLeffe - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ospitaletto - Lumezzane	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.26	Trento - Ospitaletto	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Ospitaletto - Legnago Salus	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWLW
- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group A
06.09.26	Juventus U23 - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Carpi - Juventus U23	3:3 ✺
22.08.26	Juventus U23 - Novara	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Juventus U23 - Forlì	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.26	Alessandria - Juventus U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWLW

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