Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 18

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni (Ospitaletto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Ospitaletto		Pro Vercelli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3	2.88
	2.44	3.05	3.06
	2.41	3.02	2.93	Watch
	2.3	2.8	2.9
	2.4	2.9	2.95	Watch
	2.37	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.6)	2.98 ↓ (3.01)	2.95 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospitaletto
38.3%

Draw
30.7%

Pro Vercelli
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

30.6%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

32.2%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Pro Vercelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Ospitaletto - Pro Vercelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ospitaletto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Pro Vercelli will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ospitaletto (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Pro Vercelli (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sonzogni L. (G) 16. Gualandris M. 4. Nessi R. 33. Sina S. 13. Sinn L. 43. Guarneri M. 10. Ievoli M. 28. Panatti M. 7. Messaggi C. 9. Gobbi F. 99. Bertoli M.	97. Livieri A. (G) 18. Piran L. 5. Marchetti S. 3. Coccolo L. 28. Carosso A. 14. Iotti I. (C) 16. Ronchi N. 4. El Bouchataoui A. 21. Sow O. 92. Akpa Akpro J. 11. Sow A.
Substitutes
22. Bevilacqua A. (G) 77. Casali M. 79. De Matteis G. 24. Diop S. 98. Nagrudnyi V. 70. Orlandi A. 74. Pollio D. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 2. Regazzetti S. 21. Torri A. 17. Tunjov G.	8. Burruano A. 44. Clemente G. 26. Comi G. 9. Coppola G. 15. Haoudi H. 30. Huiberts D. 7. Mallahi M. 29. Pino E. 33. Rosin D. 32. Zacchera G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Guarneri M. ⚽,
41', Sow A. 🟨,
44', Gualandris M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Sow O. 🟨,
62', El Bouchataoui A. 🟨,
64', Carosso A. ↓, Comi G. ↑,
66', Comi G. 🟨,
73', Sonzogni L. 🟨,
80', Guarneri M. ↓, Tunjov G. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Messaggi C. ⚽,
86', Panatti M. ↓, Torri A. ↑,
87', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
88', Ronchi N. ↓, Mallahi M. ↑,
88', Sow A. ↓, Coppola G. ↑,
90+1', Gobbi F. ↓, Regazzetti S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Ospitaletto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pro Vercelli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ospitaletto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Pro Vercelli has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Pro Vercelli - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.07%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
08.12.25	AlbinoLeffe - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ospitaletto - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Giana Erminio - Ospitaletto	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Ospitaletto - Brescia	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Trento - Ospitaletto	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTLTL
- Pro Vercelli
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.12.25	Pro Vercelli - Latina	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
06.12.25	Pro Vercelli - Renate	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Inter U23 - Pro Vercelli	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Pro Vercelli - Atalanta U23	5:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
22.11.25	Pro Vercelli - Alcione	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTTWW

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