Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 16

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni (Ospitaletto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Ospitaletto		Virtus Verona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.3
	2.13	3.3	3.49
	2.21	3.33	3.09	Watch
	2.05	3.13	3.41	Watch
	2.14	3.2	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.34)	3.23 ↓ (3.35)	3.32 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospitaletto
43.6%

Draw
28.6%

Virtus Verona
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Verona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Verona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ospitaletto - Virtus Verona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sonzogni L. (G) 2. Regazzetti S. 4. Nessi R. 6. Possenti M. 13. Sinn L. 16. Gualandris M. 28. Panatti M. 43. Guarneri M. 7. Messaggi C. 99. Bertoli M. 9. Gobbi F.	22. Sibi S. (G) 75. Bassi M. 23. Toffanin F. 95. Munaretti L. 7. Amadio M. 20. Fiorin G. 5. Fanini F. 10. Zarpellon L. 29. Saiani F. 9. De Marchi M. 44. Pagliuca M.
Substitutes
77. Casali M. 24. Diop S. 10. Ievoli M. 98. Nagrudnyi V. 70. Orlandi A. 11. Pavanello A. 74. Pollio D. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 33. Sina S. 17. Tunjov G.	2. Alfonso E. (G) 80. Bulevardi D. 3. Cielo T. 47. Cuel E. 14. Di Virgilio M. 99. Fabbro M. . Favalli A. 30. Gatti C. 74. Lerco S. 4. Lodovici R. 39. Mancini T. 11. Mastour H. 21. Muhameti E. 90. Odogwu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Zarpellon L. ↓, Bulevardi D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bertoli M. ↓, Torri A. ↑,
60', Possenti M. 🟨,
60', 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, De Marchi M. ⚽,
71', Guarneri M. ↓, Ievoli M. ↑,
71', Regazzetti S. ↓, Orlandi A. ↑,
75', Fiorin G. ↓, Cuel E. ↑,
75', Amadio M. ↓, Lerco S. ↑,
75', Pagliuca M. ↓, Fabbro M. ↑,
78', De Marchi M. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
85', Possenti M. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Ievoli M. ⚽,
88', Torri A. ↓, Sina S. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Ospitaletto could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
23.11.25	Giana Erminio - Ospitaletto	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Ospitaletto - Brescia	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Trento - Ospitaletto	3:1 ✺
03.11.25	Ospitaletto - Dolomiti Bellunesi	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
30.10.25	Ospitaletto - Inter U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLWL
- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
22.11.25	Virtus Verona - Triestina	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	AlbinoLeffe - Virtus Verona	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Renate - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Virtus Verona - Trento	0:3 ✺
24.10.25	Novara - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLT

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