Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 15

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Giana Erminio		Ospitaletto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.6
	2.24	3.20	3.14	Watch
	2.01	3.02	3.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.24)	3.11 ↓ (3.2)	3.47 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
43.8%

Draw
29.6%

Ospitaletto
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

29%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Ospitaletto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Giana Erminio - Ospitaletto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mazza A. (G) 13. Colombara M. 6. Ferri L. 27. Alborghetti M. 26. Previtali N. 10. Lamesta A. 14. Marotta M. 20. Renda F. 24. Ruffini L. 11. Capelli A. 97. Gabbiani G.	12. Sonzogni L. (G) 2. Regazzetti S. 4. Nessi R. 6. Possenti M. 13. Sinn L. 16. Gualandris M. 43. Guarneri M. 28. Panatti M. 7. Messaggi C. 9. Gobbi F. 99. Bertoli M.
Substitutes
9. Akammadu F. 5. Berretta A. 19. Duca T. 12. Magni S. (G) 8. Nelli J. 3. Nucifero T. 4. Piazza A. 7. Pinto D. 16. Rizzo A. 90. Vitale V. 1. Zenti A. (G)	22. Bevilacqua A. (G) 77. Casali M. 24. Diop S. 10. Ievoli M. 98. Nagrudnyi V. 70. Orlandi A. 11. Pavanello A. 74. Pollio D. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 33. Sina S. 17. Tunjov G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Gabbiani G. 🟨,
53', Capelli A. 🟨,
55', Lamesta A. 🟨,
58', Capelli A. ↓, Akammadu F. ↑,
59', Gabbiani G. ↓, Vitale V. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Vitale V. ⚽,
70', Alborghetti M. 🟨,
76', Bertoli M. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
77', Regazzetti S. ↓, Casali M. ↑,
77', Gualandris M. ↓, Tunjov G. ↑,
79', Renda F. ↓, Nucifero T. ↑,
82', Sinn L. ↓, Orlandi A. ↑,
85', Guarneri M. ↓, Ievoli M. ↑,
89', Marotta M. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
89', Ferri L. ↓, Piazza A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Giana Erminio will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
17.11.25	Pergolettese - Giana Erminio	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Giana Erminio - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Vicenza Virtus - Giana Erminio	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Giana Erminio - Alcione	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Pro Vercelli - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLTT
- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
16.11.25	Ospitaletto - Brescia	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Trento - Ospitaletto	3:1 ✺
03.11.25	Ospitaletto - Dolomiti Bellunesi	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
30.10.25	Ospitaletto - Inter U23	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
26.10.25	Pro Patria - Ospitaletto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLWLT

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