Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 11

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday


	Ospitaletto		SantAngelo

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	3.75
	1.84	3.47	3.91
	1.81	3.4	3.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.13)	3.39 ↑ (3.26)	3.88 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospitaletto
49.9%

Draw
26.7%

SantAngelo
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27.9%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ospitaletto's performance.

SantAngelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SantAngelo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ospitaletto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SantAngelo than the current prediction. (+5%)

Ospitaletto - SantAngelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Ciciretti A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Ospitaletto is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches SantAngelo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SantAngelo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently SantAngelo have a series of guest games.

Ospitaletto will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.10.24	Breno - Ospitaletto	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Ospitaletto - Chievo	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Pro Palazzolo - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Ospitaletto - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:2 ✺
02.10.24	Sondrio - Ospitaletto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTTW
- ACD SantAngelo
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.10.24	SantAngelo - Desenzano Calvina	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Folgore Caratese - SantAngelo	3:1 ✺
13.10.24	Varesina - SantAngelo	1:1 ✺
02.10.24	Breno - SantAngelo	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Pro Palazzolo - SantAngelo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLTWL

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