Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	SantAngelo		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.3	1.7
	4.52	3.36	1.74	Watch
	4.59	3.32	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.55 ↑ (4.35)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)	1.72 (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SantAngelo
19.9%

Draw
27.3%

Desenzano Calvina
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

26.9%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

26.3%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SantAngelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SantAngelo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

SantAngelo - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
40', Confalonieri S. 🟥,
45+5', 1 - 0, Bernardini D. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 1, Procaccio A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+9', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

SantAngelo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Desenzano is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Desenzano is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SantAngelo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, SantAngelo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sant'Angelo	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACD SantAngelo
Italian Serie D - Group D
15.02.26	Rovato Vertovese - SantAngelo	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	SantAngelo - Tropical Coriano	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - SantAngelo	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	SantAngelo - Pro Sesto	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Crema - SantAngelo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLTT
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
15.02.26	Desenzano Calvina - Trevigliese	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Lentigione - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Desenzano Calvina - Progresso	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Correggese - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Desenzano Calvina - Tuttocuoio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
19.10.25	Desenzano Calvina - SantAngelo	5:1
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.02.25	Desenzano Calvina - SantAngelo	1:1
23.10.24	SantAngelo - Desenzano Calvina	2:0

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