Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 9

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SI Solo Calcio


	Folgore Caratese		SantAngelo

	1	X	2
	3	2.95	2.2
	2.7	3.11	2.35
	2.89	3.05	2.42	Watch
	2.89	2.98	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.41)	3.02 ↓ (3.08)	2.34 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
31.5%

Draw
29.9%

SantAngelo
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

29.6%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

29.2%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

SantAngelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SantAngelo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Folgore Caratese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SantAngelo than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SantAngelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Folgore Caratese - SantAngelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Varesanovic M. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Simeri S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, Occhipinti E. ⚽,
70', 🟥,
73', 3 - 1, Ferrandino D. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
13.10.24	Breno - Folgore Caratese	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Folgore Caratese - Chievo	1:0 ✺
02.10.24	Pro Palazzolo - Folgore Caratese	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Folgore Caratese - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:1 ✺
18.09.24	Folgore Caratese - Arconatese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLTW
- ACD SantAngelo
Italian Serie D - Group B
13.10.24	Varesina - SantAngelo	1:1 ✺
02.10.24	Breno - SantAngelo	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Pro Palazzolo - SantAngelo	3:1 ✺
18.09.24	SantAngelo - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	SantAngelo - Arconatese	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWLWW

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