Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 31

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Ospitaletto		Varesina

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	3.7
	1.85	3.3	3.9
	1.9	3.21	3.72
	1.9	3.36	3.81
	1.85	3.24	4
	1.85	3.3	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.86)	3.28 ↑ (3.23)	3.84 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospitaletto
48.7%

Draw
27.7%

Varesina
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

28.1%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

28.2%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospitaletto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Ospitaletto - Varesina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Guri S. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Bertoli M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Gobbi F. ⚽,
89', 1 - 3, Gasparri M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Ospitaletto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varesina is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Varesina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ospitaletto is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ospitaletto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.02.25	Ospitaletto - Breno	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Chievo - Ospitaletto	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Ospitaletto - Pro Palazzolo	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Sangiuliano City Nova - Ospitaletto	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Ospitaletto - Sondrio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWTLL
- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
02.03.25	Varesina - Club Milano	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Folgore Caratese - Varesina	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Varesina - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	SantAngelo - Varesina	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Varesina - Desenzano Calvina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
03.11.24	Varesina - Ospitaletto	2:2

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