The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varesina 22.8%
Draw 26.4%
Pro Sesto 50.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.3%
28.2%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
27.8%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Pro Sesto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pro Sesto's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pro Sesto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Varesina - Pro Sesto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 13th and 5th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group D Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varesina won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Varesina (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Pro Sesto is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Pro Sesto for this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Varesina has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:10 (averaging 0.5:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Varesina against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).
Watch
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