Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 26

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Varesina		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.1	3.15	2.17
	3.25	3.05	2.13
	3.23	3.23	2.14	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.26	3.13	2.12
	3.1	3.15	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (3.11)	3.14 ↓ (3.14)	2.14 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varesina
28.8%

Draw
28.8%

Desenzano Calvina
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

28.9%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

28.7%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Varesina - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Cardella F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 1 - 1, Rosa S. ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, Bertoli M. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
29.01.25	Varesina - Chievo	2:3 ✺
25.01.25	Cavenago Fanfulla - Varesina	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Varesina - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Breno - Varesina	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Varesina - Arconatese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTTTL
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
29.01.25	Desenzano Calvina - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Breno - Desenzano Calvina	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Desenzano Calvina - Arconatese	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Pro Palazzolo - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Sondrio - Desenzano Calvina	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
19.05.24	Desenzano Calvina - Varesina	1:0
17.03.24	Desenzano Calvina - Varesina	2:0
05.11.23	Varesina - Desenzano Calvina	3:2
30.04.23	Varesina - Desenzano Calvina	1:2
17.12.22	Desenzano Calvina - Varesina	2:1

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