Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Ostia Mare		Aprilia

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.9	3.7
	2	2.92	3.73
	2.3	2.9	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.88)	2.91 ↓ (3.04)	3.56 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
43.4%

Draw
31.1%

Aprilia
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

29.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

31.9%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Aprilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ostia Mare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 7 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ostia Mare won 0.

Recent matches Ostia Mare is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aprilia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ostia Mare is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ostia Mare won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ostia Mare won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
03.04.22	Carbonia - Ostia Mare	0:2 ✺
30.03.22	Ostia Mare - Vis Artena	1:1 ✺
27.03.22	Nuova Florida - Ostia Mare	2:1 ✺
13.03.22	Ostia Mare - Muravera	2:0 ✺
06.03.22	Sassari Torres - Ostia Mare	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLWL
- Aprilia
Italian Serie D - Group G
03.04.22	Aprilia - Giugliano	3:1 ✺
30.03.22	Cynthialbalonga - Aprilia	0:0 ✺
26.03.22	Aprilia - Insieme Formia	2:3 ✺
12.03.22	Lanusei - Aprilia	1:2 ✺
09.03.22	Carbonia - Aprilia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
28.11.21	Aprilia - Ostia Mare	1:1
03.11.19	Aprilia - Ostia Mare	1:2
13.01.19	Ostia Mare - Aprilia	0:1
23.09.18	Aprilia - Ostia Mare	3:0
04.03.18	Aprilia - Ostia Mare	2:0
29.10.17	Ostia Mare - Aprilia	0:1

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