Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pasquale Giannattasio (Rome)

Referee: Toro F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Ostia Mare		Forlì

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.40	2.75
	2.25	3.3	2.85	Watch
	2.29	3.45	2.98
	2.23	3.42	2.9	Watch
	2.19	3.3	2.9
	2.15	3.35	2.89	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.46)	3.36 ↑ (3.28)	2.87 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
41.1%

Draw
27.1%

Forlì
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

26.8%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Ostia Mare - Forlì Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vertua F. (G) 4. Piroli D. (C) 5. Giordani P. 13. Brosco R. 66. Castaldo A. 32. Casolari F. 8. Greco D. 77. Tosku F. 11. Parigini V. 71. Carbone F. 17. D'Andrea F.	12. Theiner D. (G) 35. Diop S. 36. Onofri M. 95. Munaretti L. 11. Farinelli N. 10. Macri D. (C) 6. De Risio C. 23. Scaccabarozzi J. 21. Mattioli G. 9. Coveri V. 19. Gabellini T.
Substitutes
10. Badje I. 6. Buono D. 30. Donsah G. 12. Fabiano A. (G) 18. Felici N. 14. Galastri F. 16. Gerbaudo M. 22. Morlupo A. (G) 23. Spinosa M. 24. Tesauro E. 9. Tonin R. 27. Vagnoni M. 19. Wade I.	2. Mandrelli N. 22. Martelli L. (G) 18. Perini G. 30. Perretta G. 7. Petrelli E. 8. Rosetti M. 33. Rossi D. 17. Spinelli A. 99. Tordiglione N. 15. Valentini F. 4. Valentini F. 34. Veliaj G. (G)
Coaches
D'Antoni D.	Campedelli N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', D'Andrea F. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
34', Macri D. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Casolari F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Parigini V. ↓, Badje I. ↑,
57', Tosku F. ↓, Spinosa M. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Coveri V. ⚽,
75', Piroli D. ↓, Vagnoni M. ↑,
75', Greco D. ↓, Wade I. ↑,
76', De Risio C. ↓, Perretta G. ↑,
76', Macri D. ↓, Perini G. ↑,
76', Coveri V. ↓, Rosetti M. ↑,
84', Munaretti L. ↓, Valentini F. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Vagnoni M. ⚽, Spinosa M. (A),
90+1', Gabellini T. 🟨,
90+2', Scaccabarozzi J. ↓, Rossi D. ↑,
90+3', Badje I. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15th and 8th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Ostia Mare may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Forli	9	2	5	2	14:13	1	11
14	Ostiamare	9	2	3	4	9:10	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
20.09.26	Gubbio - Ostia Mare	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Ostia Mare - Ravenna	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Sassari Torres - Ostia Mare	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Vis Pesaro - Ostia Mare	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Ostia Mare - Grosseto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLWL
- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
19.09.26	Forlì - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Pineto - Forlì	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Forlì - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Latina - Forlì	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.09.26	Ravenna - Forlì	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTWLL

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