Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Citta dell Aria (Guidonia Montecelio) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Papi C. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Guidonia Montecelio		Forlì

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.25	3.40
	2.00	3.15	3.20	Watch
	2.13	3.35	3.54
	2.03	3.27	3.46	Watch
	2.07	3.30	3.40
	1.98	3.23	3.95	Watch
	1.97	3.20	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.1)	3.25 ↑ (3.07)	3.5 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guidonia Montecelio
45.5%

Draw
28.2%

Forlì
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.1%

29.4%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.8%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Guidonia Montecelio - Forlì Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Drago G. (G) 33. Borghini D. 2. Esempio S. (C) 26. Baroni R. 11. Viteritti O. 20. Giannotti P. 4. Celeghin E. 23. Murgia A. 21. Tonetto M. 9. Vertainen E. 30. Ferrari F.	12. Theiner D. (G) 35. Diop S. 15. Valentini F. 95. Munaretti L. 11. Farinelli N. 8. Rosetti M. 6. De Risio C. 10. Macri D. (C) 21. Mattioli G. 9. Coveri V. 7. Petrelli E.
Substitutes
50. Cefalo T. (G) 18. D'Urso C. 8. Errico A. 38. Frascatore P. 3. Malomo A. 5. Mastrantonio V. 7. Sannipoli D. 14. Santoro S. 10. Spavone A. 96. Stellato G. (G) 17. Tascone S. 77. Zappella D.	19. Gabellini T. 5. Gaiola R. 2. Mandrelli N. 22. Martelli L. (G) 36. Onofri M. 26. Palomba L. 18. Perini G. 30. Perretta G. 33. Rossi D. 23. Scaccabarozzi J. 17. Spinelli A. 99. Tordiglione N. 4. Valentini F. 34. Veliaj G. (G) 77. Zerbo P.
Coaches
Ginestra C.	Campedelli N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Tonetto M. ⚽, Ferrari F. (A),
27', Diop S. ↓, Palomba L. ↑,
29', 2 - 0, Vertainen E. ⚽, Ferrari F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Petrelli E. ↓, Gabellini T. ↑,
46', Vertainen E. ↓, Spavone A. ↑,
52', Tonetto M. ↓, Zappella D. ↑,
54', Rosetti M. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Gabellini T. ⚽, Mattioli G. (A),
60', Murgia A. ↓, Mastrantonio V. ↑,
60', Giannotti P. ↓, Tascone S. ↑,
67', Munaretti L. ↓, Perretta G. ↑,
67', Rosetti M. ↓, Scaccabarozzi J. ↑,
80', De Risio C. ↓, Perini G. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Perini G. ⚽, Scaccabarozzi J. (A),
82', Celeghin E. ↓, Santoro S. ↑,
83', Borghini D. 🟨,
85', 3 - 2, Spavone A. ⚽,
86', Spavone A. 🟨,
90', Valentini F. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 11th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Guidonia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Guidonia has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guidonia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Guidonia	11	4	4	3	14:12	2	16
15	Forli	11	2	6	3	16:16	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
12.10.26	Pescara - Guidonia Montecelio	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Pineto	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Vis Pesaro - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Latina - Guidonia Montecelio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLTT
- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.26	Forlì - Livorno	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Vado - Forlì	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Ostia Mare - Forlì	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Forlì - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Pineto - Forlì	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
15.02.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Forlì	2:2
05.10.25	Forlì - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0

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