Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 3

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Tonino Benelli (Pesaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vis Pesaro		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.20	2.85
	2.16	3.20	2.85	Watch
	2.36	3.45	2.95
	2.23	3.42	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.40	2.85
	2.23	3.24	2.90	Watch
	2.20	3.20	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.12)	3.3 ↑ (3.05)	2.9 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
40.9%

Draw
27.6%

Ostia Mare
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.6%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

25.3%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+1%)

Vis Pesaro - Ostia Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Guarnone A. (G) 2. Conti N. 45. Giorgini P. 5. Tonucci D. 36. Bailo G. 24. Berengo N. 7. Pucciarelli M. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 80. Gambino G. 9. Nicastro F. 20. Giovannini R.	1. Vertua F. (G) 5. Giordani P. 13. Brosco R. 4. Piroli D. (C) 66. Castaldo A. 6. Buono D. 32. Casolari F. 77. Tosku F. 71. Carbone F. 10. Badje I. 9. Tonin R.
Substitutes
14. Ascione S. 3. Barranco G. 23. Beghetto L. 78. Carnaroli A. 47. Konate A. 90. Lari N. 55. Mariani E. 22. Mariani M. (G) 30. Maucci G. 4. Nina C. 1. Piersanti M. (G) 33. Pompilio F. 28. Rigione M. 27. Sculli F. 6. Tomassini A.	30. Donsah G. 12. Fabiano A. (G) 78. Ferrari F. 14. Galastri F. 16. Gerbaudo M. 8. Greco D. 22. Morlupo A. (G) 3. Orfano M. 11. Parigini V. 23. Spinosa M. 24. Tesauro E. 27. Vagnoni M. 19. Wade I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Di Paola M. 🟨,
44', Casolari F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 0, Nicastro F. ⚽, Giovannini R. (A),
59', 1 - 1, Carbone F. ⚽, Casolari F. (A),
61', Tonucci D. 🟥,
66', Gambino G. ↓, Rigione M. ↑,
69', Carbone F. ↓, Parigini V. ↑,
80', Buono D. ↓, Spinosa M. ↑,
80', Piroli D. ↓, Vagnoni M. ↑,
80', Berengo N. ↓, Maucci G. ↑,
80', Giovannini R. ↓, Konate A. ↑,
80', Tosku F. ↓, Gerbaudo M. ↑,
82', Spinosa M. 🟨,
87', 1 - 2, Tonin R. ⚽, Giordani P. (A),
89', Tonin R. ↓, Donsah G. ↑,
89', Conti N. ↓, Lari N. ↑,
89', Pucciarelli M. ↓, Mariani E. ↑,

Preview

Vis Pesaro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ostia Mare has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ostia Mare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vis Pesaro has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Ostiamare	9	2	3	4	9:10	-1	9
20	Vis Pesaro	8	1	1	6	10:19	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	5:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
30.08.26	Vis Pesaro - Perugia	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Pescara - Vis Pesaro	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Perugia - Vis Pesaro	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Cesena - Vis Pesaro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLWL
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
29.08.26	Ostia Mare - Grosseto	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Perugia - Ostia Mare	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Latina - Ostia Mare	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Lazio - Ostia Mare	4:0 ✺
26.07.26	Ostia Mare - Benevento	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Vis Pesaro - Ostia Mare: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide